On 28 September 2011 it was unusually warm in Wales. In Colwyn Bay the temperature soared to 27.5 Celsius, 81 Fahrenheit.
Tomorrow is Michaelmas Day - traditionally the last day of the harvest season. Around this time of year if the weather is fine and warm, people often talk about an 'Indian summer' or in Welsh 'Haf Bach Mihangel'.
Unfortunately, there's no chance of a warm spell this weekend. Saturday will be dry and bright with no more than the odd shower in places. But it's not going to stay dry all weekend; the weather is set to go downhill on Sunday with rain spreading south-east across the country. Some of the rain heavy with fresh to strong south-westerly winds.
Temperatures at night will drop to between six and 11 Celsius with daytime highs between 13 and 16 Celsius.

Aerial shot of the Holt and Farndon area near Wrexham
This photo taken yesterday from a plane by John Seddon from Gwernymynydd, shows the extent of the flooding from the river Dee in the Holt and Farndon area near Wrexham. River levels are continuing to fall but, at the time of writing, there is still one flood warning on the river Dee from Llangollen to Chester.
The Llandovery Sheep Festival is on this weekend. Saturday will be dry with sunny spells. Sunday turning wet and breezy with a top temperature of 15 Celsius.
Last year, October started off hot with record breaking high temperatures but it will be a different story this year. Next week will be changeable and windy at times with a mixture of rain, blustery showers and sunny intervals. In other words, typical autumn weather with temperatures around the seasonal average.
